Why is it I'm shocked, but not surprised by this?
http://www.commondreams.org/view/2013/09/03
"There are at least 12 significant feedbacks that will have a
substantial effect on the rate and pace of warming. Yet feedbacks are
often too complex to fully characterize, let alone model. Yet their
effects are serious. For example just 3 of these feedbacks could add as
much as 4.5 degrees to the warming forecasts for 2100.
The first is a result of decreases in
sulfur aerosols from phytoplankton, as the seas become more acidic and
these critters begin to die off. Sulfur aerosols are known to moderate
solar gain and mitigate global warming. This could increase warming by
close to 1F by 2100.
Extreme weather events could add
another 1.5 F since they effect the Earth’s ability to sequester human
emissions and in some cases increase those emissions directly.Add these to the 2 F expected from methane releases – a conservative
number if one compares the results of similar events in the geologic
record – and these 3 feedbacks alone could add 4.5 F to our worst-case
projections for 2100.
And of course, warming doesn’t simply stop in 2100, merely because we
stop modeling beyond that. It continues and accelerates, and,
unchecked, becomes self-reinforcing and irreversible. We’re already
locked into thousands of years of sea level rise from the carbon we’ve
put into the system to date. "
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